Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.29%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.02%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.