Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 34.67%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.85%) and 2-1 (6.65%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 (13.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.