Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (12.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.