Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Espanyol in this match.