SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 43.83%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Albacete |
43.83% ( 0.27) | 28.38% ( 0.21) | 27.78% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 44.39% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.62% ( -0.91) | 61.38% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.72% ( -0.69) | 81.27% ( 0.68) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -0.29) | 27.86% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( -0.37) | 63.47% ( 0.37) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.54% ( -0.91) | 38.46% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.79% ( -0.88) | 75.21% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Albacete |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.71% Total : 43.83% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.77% |
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