SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 35.48%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 2-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Racing de Santander |
35.48% ( 0.12) | 31.45% ( -0.08) | 33.07% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 38.44% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.6% ( 0.23) | 69.4% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.15% ( 0.15) | 86.85% ( -0.14) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.21) | 37.14% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( 0.21) | 73.92% ( -0.21) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% ( 0.11) | 38.86% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% ( 0.11) | 75.59% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 35.47% | 0-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.45% | 0-1 @ 13.64% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 33.07% |
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