SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Mirandes |
36.58% ( 0.66) | 29.88% ( -0.1) | 33.54% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 42.39% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.23% ( 0.28) | 64.77% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.27% ( 0.2) | 83.73% ( -0.2) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( 0.59) | 33.85% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( 0.63) | 70.52% ( -0.63) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( -0.24) | 35.92% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% ( -0.25) | 72.7% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.58% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.86% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 33.54% |
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