Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
UD Ibiza | Draw | Mirandes |
40.27% ( 1.63) | 28.07% ( -0.39) | 31.65% ( -1.23) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.97% ( 1.13) | 59.03% ( -1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.51% ( 0.87) | 79.5% ( -0.87) |
UD Ibiza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( 1.5) | 28.69% ( -1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% ( 1.84) | 64.52% ( -1.83) |
Mirandes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.81% ( -0.28) | 34.19% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( -0.3) | 70.89% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
UD Ibiza | Draw | Mirandes |
1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.27% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.65% |
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