Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.12%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (12.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
