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Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 15, 2021 at 3pm UK
Nou Castalia

Castellon
0 - 2
Ponferradina


Bodiger (24'), Galvez (71'), Carlos Garrido Fernandez (90'), Diaz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sielva (45'), Valcarce (88')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.12%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
CastellonDrawPonferradina
37.81%30.87%31.32%
Both teams to score 39.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.04%67.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.09%85.91%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23%34.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5%71.5%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65%39.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95%76.05%
Score Analysis
    Castellon 37.81%
    Ponferradina 31.32%
    Draw 30.87%
CastellonDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 14.45%
2-0 @ 7.64%
2-1 @ 7.12%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.81%
0-0 @ 13.68%
1-1 @ 13.48%
2-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.87%
0-1 @ 12.76%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 31.32%

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