Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.12%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
