Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.