SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Albacete |
31.45% ( -2.81) | 28.3% ( 1.26) | 40.25% ( 1.55) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( -4.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.11% ( -5.2) | 59.89% ( 5.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.85% ( -4.14) | 80.15% ( 4.14) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( -4.6) | 34.8% ( 4.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( -5.18) | 71.53% ( 5.18) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -1.61) | 29.13% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( -2.03) | 65.05% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Albacete |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.72)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.62)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.47)Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 1.82)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.66)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 1.78) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.79)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.37)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.6% Total : 40.24% |
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