Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.3%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
