SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Albacete in this match.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
42.56% ( 0.62) | 28.22% ( -0.15) | 29.21% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 45.55% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.71% ( 0.35) | 60.29% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.54% ( 0.26) | 80.46% ( -0.27) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( 0.51) | 28.03% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( 0.64) | 63.68% ( -0.65) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( -0.18) | 36.7% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( -0.18) | 73.49% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.21% |
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