Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.1%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 29.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 1-0 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
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