Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.79%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 28.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (6.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.9%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
-1.52) 
0.38) 
