SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Leganes | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Racing de Santander | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 21 | Malaga | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Cartagena | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Las Palmas | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Alaves | 5 | 3 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Las Palmas |
30.19% ( 0.14) | 29.06% ( -0.03) | 40.74% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 43.74% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.25% ( 0.12) | 62.75% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.72% ( 0.09) | 82.28% ( -0.08) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( 0.17) | 37.29% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.93% ( 0.17) | 74.07% ( -0.17) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.01) | 30.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -0.01) | 66.41% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 30.19% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.38% Total : 40.74% |
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