Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Leganes
51.22% ( -0.47)	26.46% ( 0.02)	22.31% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 44.86% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.59% (

0.3)

58.41% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.99% (

0.23)

79.01% (

-0.23)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06% (

-0.08)

22.94% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.29% (

-0.12)

56.71% (

0.12)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.22% (

0.63)

41.78% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.76% (

0.54)

78.24% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 51.22%

Leganes 22.31%

Draw 26.46%

Las Palmas	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 14.11% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 51.22%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.15% Total : 22.31%