Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
0.36) 
-0.26) 
