Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
-1.25) 
1.26) 
