Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.3%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 27.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.