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Segunda Division | Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Alcorcon

Antonin (16'), Fernandez (86' og.)
Trejo (20'), Advincula (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barbero (79')
Sosa (49'), Laure (85')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Alcorcon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlcorcon
49.58%29.51%20.91%
Both teams to score 36.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.47%68.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.72%86.28%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89%64.1%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.74%49.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.86%84.13%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 49.57%
    Alcorcon 20.91%
    Draw 29.5%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 17.6%
2-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 7.85%
3-0 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 3.3%
4-0 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.17%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 49.57%
0-0 @ 13.97%
1-1 @ 12.46%
2-2 @ 2.78%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 20.91%

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