Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.25%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
