SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
44.29% ( -0.65) | 27.64% ( 0.11) | 28.06% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.26% ( -0.13) | 58.74% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.73% ( -0.1) | 79.27% ( 0.11) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.39) | 26.38% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.52) | 61.54% ( 0.53) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.37) | 36.78% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( 0.36) | 73.57% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.06% |
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