SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Elche had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Elche |
| 38.76% | 26.7% | 34.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% | 53.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% | 74.83% |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.89% | 62.11% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% | 29.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.71% | 65.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.54% |
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