Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Elche had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.