Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.65%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.