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Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
Jul 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
La Romareda

Zaragoza
2 - 1
Ponferradina

Linares (35'), Blanco (66')
Clemente (24'), Linares (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (51')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawPonferradina
43.28%27.58%29.13%
Both teams to score 47.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.93%58.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25%78.74%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4%26.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17%61.82%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43%35.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66%72.33%
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 43.27%
    Ponferradina 29.13%
    Draw 27.58%
Real ZaragozaDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.46%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 9.78%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 29.13%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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