Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.37%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
