Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.15%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.49%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
