Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
