Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 45.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
