Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 35.76%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.