Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.