Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 35.41%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.06%) and 1-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Oviedo in this match.