Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Sabadell had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Sabadell win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.