Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 36.79%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 2-1 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.71%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
