Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.35%) and 1-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (13.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fuenlabrada would win this match.