Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.72%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.