Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
