Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 38.31%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 30.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.82%) and 1-2 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.11%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 1-0 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mirandes in this match.