SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 41.93%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 28.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Malaga |
| 41.93% | 29.29% | 28.79% |
| Both teams to score 42.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.11% | 63.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.89% | 83.11% |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% | 30.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.71% | 66.29% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.96% | 39.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.24% | 75.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 14.11% 2-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 7.96% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.36% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.51% Total : 28.78% |
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