SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.21%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 30.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Malaga |
| 38.21% | 31.05% | 30.74% |
| Both teams to score 39.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.45% | 68.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.71% | 86.29% |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% | 34.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.44% | 71.56% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% | 40.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.22% | 76.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 14.74% 2-0 @ 7.78% 2-1 @ 7.1% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.21% | 0-0 @ 13.98% 1-1 @ 13.45% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.04% | 0-1 @ 12.76% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.38% Total : 30.74% |
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