Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.21%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 30.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.