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Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
Jul 17, 2020 at 8pm UK
La Rosaleda

Malaga
2 - 0
Alcorcon

Juanpi (22'), Morente (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sandaza (65'), Bellvis (73'), Stoichkov (81'), Dieguez (87')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Alcorcon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result
MalagaDrawAlcorcon
47.98%29.52%22.5%
Both teams to score 37.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.46%67.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.37%85.63%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49%64.51%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.05%46.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55%82.45%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 47.97%
    Alcorcon 22.5%
    Draw 29.51%
MalagaDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 16.81%
2-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 7.94%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 3.31%
4-0 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.25%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 47.97%
0-0 @ 13.46%
1-1 @ 12.71%
2-2 @ 3%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 29.51%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.5%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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