SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 47.98% | 29.52% | 22.5% |
| Both teams to score 37.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.46% | 67.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.37% | 85.63% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% | 28.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.49% | 64.51% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.05% | 46.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.55% | 82.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 16.81% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 7.94% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.31% 4-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.25% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.4% Total : 47.97% | 0-0 @ 13.46% 1-1 @ 12.71% 2-2 @ 3% Other @ 0.34% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.5% |
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