Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.