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Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
Jul 13, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
El Molinón

Sporting Gijon
2 - 1
Malaga

Medina (3'), Vazquez (31')
Mendez (53'), Fuego (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bare (90+3')
Bare (79')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.17%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 30.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.5%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawMalaga
38.17%31.4%30.43%
Both teams to score 38.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.45%69.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.05%86.94%
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83%72.17%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.03%40.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47%77.52%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 38.16%
    Malaga 30.43%
    Draw 31.39%
Sporting GijonDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 15.05%
2-0 @ 7.82%
2-1 @ 6.98%
3-0 @ 2.71%
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.16%
0-0 @ 14.5%
1-1 @ 13.44%
2-2 @ 3.11%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 31.39%
0-1 @ 12.94%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 30.43%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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