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Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 17, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
1 - 0
Malaga

Ahijado (61')
Tejera (56'), Nahuel (69'), Rodri (70'), Nieto (81'), Fernandez Salas (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guerrero Romero (56'), Romero (72'), Munoz (88'), Gonzalez (90+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 41.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 29.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.

Result
Real OviedoDrawMalaga
41.22%29.61%29.17%
Both teams to score 41.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.24%64.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.28%83.72%
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01%30.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71%67.29%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77%39.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06%75.94%
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 41.22%
    Malaga 29.16%
    Draw 29.6%
Real OviedoDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 14.24%
2-0 @ 8.34%
2-1 @ 7.81%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 12.15%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.6%
0-1 @ 11.37%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 29.16%

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