Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 41.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 29.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.