Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Girona in this match.
