Lazio
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Immobile (67' pen.), Alberto (83')
Parolo (7'), Milinkovic-Savic (24'), Bastos (45'), Jony (55'), Radu (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ribery (25')
Henrique (5'), Milenkovic (32')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Fiorentina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
56.63%	22.42%	20.95%

Both teams to score 55.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.04%

43.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66%

66.34%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.68%

15.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.94%

44.06%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07%

34.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33%

71.67%

Score Analysis

Lazio 56.63%

Fiorentina 20.95%

Draw 22.41%

Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.63%	1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.35% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.41%	0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2% Total : 20.95%