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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 24, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
LL

Atalanta
3 - 2
Lazio

Gosens (38'), Malinovskiy (66'), Luis Palomino (80')
Toloi (52'), de Roon (56')
FT(HT: 1-2)
de Roon (5' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (11')
Milinkovic-Savic (72'), Patric (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
53.56%21.61%24.83%
Both teams to score 63.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.33%35.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.27%57.73%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53%13.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.52%40.47%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73%27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64%62.36%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 53.56%
    Lazio 24.83%
    Draw 21.61%
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 7.31%
1-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 6.4%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 4.19%
4-1 @ 3.21%
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 0.98%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 53.56%
1-1 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 3.64%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 24.83%


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