Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Cagliari
43.36% ( -0.05)	25.13% ( -0.01)	31.5% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.6% (

0.04)

47.39% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.39% (

0.03)

69.61% (

-0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.01)

21.84% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-0.02)

55.06% (

0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

0.05)

28.37% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

0.07)

64.11% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Monza 43.36%

Cagliari 31.5%

Draw 25.13%

Monza	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.36%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.5%