Although Udinese will be riding high after their win against Juventus, Cioffi's side tend to find it much tougher when expected to break their opponents down. Cagliari, as would be expected under the management of Ranieri, will likely arrive with a defensive gameplan.
As a result, we can envisage a game which will mostly be low on quality, with both teams desperate to avoid relegation this season. We predict a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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